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Kennys Stock Market Trading - The Week Ahead 03 Apr
April 03, 2011
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Issue# 0011 03 April 2010

Stock Market Trading

Traders Day Trading & Kenny's Elliott Waves Blog

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Hello,

Welcome to Stock Market Trading the new look newsletter for 2011 from Traders Day Trading & Kenny's Elliott Waves Blog.

Important, the information provided here is supplied for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice or an inducement to trade. Please refer to the full terms and conditions at www.tradersdaytrading.com  and seek independent financial advice where necessary.

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S&P 500 Cash Index - The Week Ahead


The Week That Was...
Last week the plan was to remain medium term bullish with a possible gap up on Monday. The market hit our short term target at 1319 first and then fell back to 1310 before testing the 'crucial' support level at 1303-5 by printing the low for the week at 1305.26

"The bullish Elliott wave count I am going with, now requires 1300.58 not to print for the short term rally to continue but in reality, it looks like 1310 should be strong support with 1303-5 as crucial support."

Holding 1303-5 confirmed my medium term bullish bias, and set up the run to the upper target zone at 1330-3

"The ideal target that would clear things up a bit would be 1330-3"

The Week Ahead...
Medium term bullish bias remains and from here, it looks like it will do for at least a few weeks more. But bulls still need a short term low, a decline to work off a bit of steam, however short lived. The problem is, where do you short from?

Last week closed right in the 1330-3 target zone so I want to be short from around here somewhere to 1320, 1312 or 1305 before another long trade kicks in.

Pivots Monday Weekly Monthly
R3 1350.97
1390.97 1468.84
R2 1342.01 1357.76 1385.61
R1 1337.21 1345.09 1355.72
Pivot 1333.05 1325.17 1302.38
S1 1328.25 1312.50 1272.49
S2 1324.09 1292.58 1219.15
S3 1315.13 1259.99 1135.92

Current Week Month   Stock Market Trading Trend Up Year  Stock Market Trading Trend Up
Open 0 1329.48 1257.64
High 0 1337.85 1344.07
Low 0 1328.89 1249.05
Range 0 8.96
95.02


Previous Day  Stock Market Trading Trend Up Week Stock Market Trading Trend Up  Month   Stock Market Trading Trend Up Year  Stock Market Trading Trend Up
Open 1329.48
1315.45 1328.64 1116.56
High 1337.85 1337.85 1332.28 1219.8
Low 1328.89 1305.26 1249.05 1011.40
Close 1332.41 1332.41 1325.82 1258.84
Range 8.96 32.59
83.23
208.4


Key Support and Resistance Levels

1381
1370
1360
1353
1344
High? 1340
1334
Current 1332
1326
1322
1312
Low? 1310
1305
1303
1298
MT Pivot 1293
1288
1273
1268
1257

1249
1225
Bold Numbers = Stronger Support and Resistance


Trade Set Ups for the Week Ahead

Last week I planned for 1310 then 1319, unfortunately it printed 1319 before going to 1305 and resulted in a -3 for the Day Trade set up. The swing trade banked 17 points and gave us +14 for the week.

This week I have two weekly trade set ups again. Lets see if the market plays the game.
 

******

NOTE: For this format I am using a 10 point stop loss on the weekly trade set up and 3 points on the day trade set up, unless otherwise indicated. 

It is important to remember that technical analysis does not tell us what will happen, it is about the odds and probabilities of what to expect to happen given a certain set of circumstances. As circumstances change so must expectations, and trading plans must be adapted to fit those new circumstances.


******

Kennys Stock Market Trade for the Week 1

Market Trade Open Target
S&P 500 Cash Index Buy 1310 1344


Kennys Stock Market Trade for the Week 2

Market Trade Open Target
S&P 500 Cash Index sell 1334 1312


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Kenny



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