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Hello,
Welcome to
Stock
Market Trading
the new look newsletter for
2011 from Traders
Day
Trading & Kenny's
Elliott Waves Blog.
Important, the information provided here
is supplied for educational purposes only and should not be taken as
financial advice or an inducement to trade. Please refer to the full
terms and conditions at www.tradersdaytrading.com and seek
independent financial advice where necessary.
S&P 500 Cash Index - The
Week Ahead
The
Week That Was...
The
plan for last week was to be swing short based on the S&P 500
Futures
reaching the C = 0.618 x A at 1342. This was still short of
the
equivalent target on the cash market with a potential 1353 target on
the cards but we felt that there should be a reactive move anyway.
Our estimated posible range for the week was 1353 as a high and 1293 as
a low. The market sold off, gapping down on Monday and went all the way
to our support zone at 1293. This was where the S&P 500
bottomed out for the week.
The
Week Ahead...
Finding support at 1293 keeps the larger
trend intact so we still do not have confirmation of a trend change as
yet. This means that we can still not rule out going all the way back
up to close Mondays opening gap and then on to 1353 now that 1293
has been confirmed as the medium term pivot.
The market has already retraced 50% of the decline and we expect a gap
up in S&P cash at the open on Monday. After that is can close
the gap and we will probably see a consolidating move whilst the market
digests the recent stort term volatility.
Pivots |
Monday |
Weekly |
Monthly |
R3 |
1342.48
|
1406.98 |
1372.24 |
R2 |
1329.21 |
1362.33 |
1327.19 |
R1 |
1324.55 |
1341.11 |
1306.65 |
Pivot |
1315.94 |
1317.68 |
1282.14 |
S1 |
1311.28 |
1296.46 |
1261.60 |
S2 |
1302.67 |
1273.03 |
1237.09 |
S3 |
1289.40 |
1228.38 |
1192.04 |
Current/Trend |
Week
|
Month
|
Year
|
Open |
0 |
1289.14 |
1257.64 |
High |
0 |
1344.07 |
1344.07 |
Low |
0 |
1289.14 |
1257.62 |
Range |
0 |
54.93 |
86.45 |
Previous/Trend |
Day
|
Week
|
Month
|
Year
|
Open |
1307.34 |
1338.91 |
1257.64 |
1116.56 |
High |
1320.61 |
1338.91 |
1302.67 |
1219.8 |
Low |
1307.34 |
1294.26 |
1257.62 |
1011.40 |
Close |
1319.88 |
1319.88 |
1286.12 |
1258.84 |
Range |
13.27 |
44.65 |
45.05 |
208.4 |
Key
Support and Resistance Levels
|
1381 |
|
1370 |
|
1360 |
High? |
1353 |
|
1344 |
|
1334 |
|
1325 |
|
1323 |
Current |
1319.88 |
Low? |
1304 |
|
1293 |
|
1288 |
|
1225 |
|
1184 |
Bold
Numbers = Stronger Support and Resistance
Trade Set
Ups for the Week Ahead
Last weeks day trade set up was very conservative as were were allowing
for a possible pop at 1353 and this did not materialize. The weekly
trade set up was short from 1343, again with very conservative target
of 1312, and banked 31 points.
******
NOTE:
For
this
format I am using a 10 point stop loss on the weekly trade set up and 3
points on the day trade set up.
It
is important to remember that technical analysis does not tell us what
will happen, it is about the odds and probabilities of what to expect
to happen given a certain set of circumstances. As
circumstances change so must expectations, and trading plans must be
adapted to fit those new circumstances.
******
Kennys Stock Market Trade
for the
Day
Market |
Trade |
Open |
Target |
S&P
500 Cash Index |
Sell |
1325
or Best Price |
1311 |
Kennys Stock Market Trade
for the
Week
Market |
Trade |
Open |
Target |
S&P
500 Cash Index |
Buy |
1303
or Best Price |
1338 |
Thank you for subscribing to Stock
Market Trading, please do us a big favor an send it to a
friend who may find it useful.
Kenny
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